Understanding shooting patterns among different players is a fundamental problem in basketball game analyses. In this paper, we quantify the shooting pattern via the field goal attempts and percentages over twelve non-overlapping regions around the front court. A joint Bayesian nonparametric mixture model is developed to find latent clusters of players based on their shooting patterns. We apply our proposed model to learn the heterogeneity among selected players from the National Basketball Association (NBA) games over the 2018–2019 regular season and 2019–2020 bubble season. Thirteen clusters are identified for 2018–2019 regular season and seven clusters are identified for 2019–2020 bubble season. We further examine the shooting patterns of players in these clusters and discuss their relation to players’ other available information. The results shed new insights on the effect of NBA COVID bubble and may provide useful guidance for player’s shot selection and team’s in-game and recruiting strategy planning.
Pub. online:7 May 2021Type:Statistical Data Science
Journal:Journal of Data Science
Volume 19, Issue 2 (2021): Special issue: Continued Data Science Contributions to COVID-19 Pandemic, pp. 253–268
Abstract
Following the outbreak of COVID-19, various containment measures have been taken, including the use of quarantine. At present, the quarantine period is the same for everyone, since it is implicitly assumed that the incubation period distribution of COVID-19 is the same regardless of age or gender. For testing the effects of age and gender on the incubation period of COVID-19, a novel two-component mixture regression model is proposed. An expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is adopted to obtain estimates of the parameters of interest, and the simulation results show that the proposed method outperforms the simple regression method and has robustness. The proposed method is applied to a Zhejiang COVID-19 dataset, and it is found that age and gender statistically have no effect on the incubation period of COVID-19, which indicates that the quarantine measure currently in operation is reasonable.