Journal of Data Science

Abstract: We apply model-based cluster analysis to data concerning types of democracies, creating an instrument for typologies. Noting several ad vantages of model-based clustering over traditional clustering methods, we fit a normal mixture model for types of democracy in the context of the majoritarian-consensus contrast using Lijphart’s (1999) data on ten variables for 36 democracies. The model for the full period (1945-1996) finds four types of democracies: two types representing a majoritarian-consensus contrast, and two mixed ones lying between the extremes. The four-cluster solution shows that most of the countries have high cluster membership probabilities, and the solution is found to be quite stable with respect to possible measurement error in the variables included in the model. For the recent-period (1971-1996) data, most countries remain in the same clusters as for the full-period data.