Journal of Data Science

The ultrasonic testing has been considered a promising method for diagnosing and characterizing masonry walls. As ultrasonic waves tend to travel faster in denser materials, their use is common in evaluating the conditions of various materials. Presence of internal voids, e.g., would alter the wave path, and this distinct behavior could be employed to identify unknown conditions within the material, allowing for the assessment of its condition. Therefore, we applied mixed models and Gaussian processes to analyze the behavior of ultrasonic waves on masonry walls and identify relevant factors impacting their propagation. We observed that the average propagation time behavior differs depending on the material for both models. Additionally, the condition of the wall influences the propagation time. Gaussian process and mixed model performances are compared, and we conclude that these models can be useful in a classification model to automatically identify anomalies within masonry walls.

One of the major climatic interests of the last decades has been to understand and describe the rainfall patterns of specific areas of the world as functions of other climate covariates. We do it for the historical climate monitoring data from Tegucigalpa, Honduras, using non-homogeneous hidden Markov models (NHMMs), which are dynamic models usually used to identify and predict heterogeneous regimes. For estimating the NHMM in an efficient and scalable way, we propose the stochastic Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm and a Bayesian method, and compare their performance in synthetic data. Although these methodologies have already been used for estimating several other statistical models, it is not the case of NHMMs which are still widely fitted by the traditional EM algorithm. We observe that, under tested conditions, the performance of the Bayesian and stochastic EM algorithms is similar and discuss their slight differences. Analyzing the Honduras rainfall data set, we identify three heterogeneous rainfall periods and select temperature and humidity as relevant covariates for explaining the dynamic relation among these periods.