Climate change is widely recognized as one of the most challenging, urgent and complex problem facing humanity. There are rising interests in understanding and quantifying climate changing. We analyze the climate trend in Canada using Canadian monthly surface air temperature, which is longitudinal data in nature with long time span. Analysis of such data is challenging due to the complexity of modeling and associated computation burdens. In this paper, we divide this type of longitudinal data into time blocks, conduct multivariate regression and utilize a vine copula model to account for the dependence among the multivariate error terms. This vine copula model allows separate specification of within-block and between-block dependence structure and has great flexibility of modeling complex association structures. To release the computational burden and concentrate on the structure of interest, we construct composite likelihood functions, which leave the connecting structure between time blocks unspecified. We discuss different estimation procedures and issues regarding model selection and prediction. We explore the prediction performance of our vine copula model by extensive simulation studies. An analysis of the Canada climate dataset is provided.
Clustering is an essential technique for discovering patterns in data. Many clustering algorithms have been developed to tackle the ever increasing quantity and complexity of data, yet algorithms that can cluster data with mixed variables (continuous and categorical) remain limited despite the abundance of mixed-type data. Of the existing clustering methods for mixed data types, some posit unverifiable distributional assumptions or rest on unbalanced contributions of different variable types. To address these issues, we propose a two-step hybrid density- and partition-based (HyDaP) algorithm to detect clusters after variable selection. The first step involves both density-based and partition-based algorithms to identify the data structure formed by continuous variables and determine important variables (both continuous and categorical) for clustering. The second step involves a partition-based algorithm together with our proposed novel dissimilarity measure to obtain clustering results. Simulations across various scenarios were conducted to compare the HyDaP algorithm with other commonly used methods. Our HyDaP algorithm was applied to identify sepsis phenotypes and yielded important results.
Early in the course of the pandemic in Colorado, researchers wished to fit a sparse predictive model to intubation status for newly admitted patients. Unfortunately, the training data had considerable missingness which complicated the modeling process. I developed a quick solution to this problem: Median Aggregation of penaLized Coefficients after Multiple imputation (MALCoM). This fast, simple solution proved successful on a prospective validation set. In this manuscript, I show how MALCoM performs comparably to a popular alternative (MI-lasso), and can be implemented in more general penalized regression settings. A simulation study and application to local COVID-19 data is included.