<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.0 20120330//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JDS</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Journal of Data Science</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">1680-743X</issn>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">1680-743X</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>SOSRUC</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">140109</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.6339/JDS.201601_14(1).0009</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>A Geostatistical Approach to Predict the Average Annual Rainfall of Bangladesh</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Alam</surname>
            <given-names>Mohammad Samsu</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_000"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_000">Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), University of Dhaka, Bangladesh</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Hossain</surname>
            <given-names>Syed Shahadat</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_001"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_001">Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), University of Dhaka, Bangladesh</aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <volume>14</volume>
      <issue>1</issue>
      <fpage>149</fpage>
      <lpage>166</lpage>
      <permissions>
        <ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>Abstract: In this paper we tried to fit a predictive model for the average annual rainfall of Bangladesh through a geostatistical approach. From geostatistical point of view, we studied the spatial dependence pattern of average annual rainfall data (measured in mm) collected from 246 stations of Bangladesh. We have employed kriging or spatial interpolation for rainfall data. The data reveals a linear trend when investigated, so by fitting a linear model we tried to remove the trend and, then we used the trend-free data for further calculations. Four theoretical semivariogram models Exponential, Spherical, Gaussian and Matern were used to explain the spatial variation among the average annual rainfall. These models are chosen according to the pattern of empirical semivariogram. The prediction performance of Ordinary kriging with these four fitted models are then compared through 𝑘 fold cross-validation and it is found that Ordinary Kriging performs better when the spatial dependency in average annual rainfall of Bangladesh is modeled through Gaussian semivariogram model.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <label>Keywords</label>
        <kwd>Geostatistics</kwd>
        <kwd>Semivariogram</kwd>
        <kwd>Spatial Interpolation</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
