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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JDS</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Journal of Data Science</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">1680-743X</issn>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">1680-743X</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>SOSRUC</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">03.NO.8-325</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.6339/JDS.201907_17(3).0008</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>A Comparison between Bayesian and Frequentist methods in Financial Volatility with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rates</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Chung</surname>
            <given-names>Steve S.</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_000"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_000">Department of Mathematics, California State University, Fresno</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Harris</surname>
            <given-names>Jalen</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_001"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_001">Department of Mathematics, California State University, Fresno</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Newmark</surname>
            <given-names>Christopher</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_002"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_002">Department of Mathematics, California State University, Fresno</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Yeung</surname>
            <given-names>Diana</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_003"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_003">Department of Mathematics, University of Notre Dame</aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <volume>17</volume>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>593</fpage>
      <lpage>612</lpage>
      <permissions>
        <ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>In this paper, a comparison is provided for volatility estimation in Bayesian and frequentist settings. We compare the predictive performance of these two approaches under the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. Our results indicate that the frequentist estimation provides better predictive potential than the Bayesian approach. The finding is contrary to some of the work in this line of research. To illustrate our finding, we used the six major foreign exchange rate datasets.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <label>Keywords</label>
        <kwd>Bayesian</kwd>
        <kwd>Financial time series</kwd>
        <kwd>Foreign exchange rates</kwd>
        <kwd>Frequentist</kwd>
        <kwd>Volatility</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
