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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JDS</journal-id>
<journal-title-group><journal-title>Journal of Data Science</journal-title></journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1683-8602</issn><issn pub-type="ppub">1680-743X</issn><issn-l>1680-743X</issn-l>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>School of Statistics, Renmin University of China</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">JDS1061</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.6339/22-JDS1061</article-id>
<article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Statistical Data Science</subject></subj-group></article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Shape-restricted Single-index Hazard Models</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Qin</surname><given-names>Jing</given-names></name><email xlink:href="mailto:jingqin@niaid.nih.gov">jingqin@niaid.nih.gov</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_jds1061_aff_001">1</xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">∗</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Sun</surname><given-names>Yifei</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_jds1061_aff_002">2</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Yuan</surname><given-names>Ao</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_jds1061_aff_003">3</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Huang</surname><given-names>Chiung-Yu</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_jds1061_aff_004">4</xref>
</contrib>
<aff id="j_jds1061_aff_001"><label>1</label>Biostatistics Research Branch, <institution>National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases</institution>, Maryland, <country>U.S.A.</country></aff>
<aff id="j_jds1061_aff_002"><label>2</label>Department of Biostatistics, Mailman School of Public Health, <institution>Columbia University</institution>, New York, <country>U.S.A.</country></aff>
<aff id="j_jds1061_aff_003"><label>3</label>Department of Biostatistics, Bioinformatics &amp; Biomathematics, <institution>Georgetown University</institution>, Washington D.C., <country>U.S.A.</country></aff>
<aff id="j_jds1061_aff_004"><label>4</label>Department of Epidemiology &amp; Biostatistics, <institution>University of California San Francisco</institution>, California, <country>U.S.A.</country></aff>
</contrib-group>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="cor1"><label>∗</label>Corresponding author. Email: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="mailto:jingqin@niaid.nih.gov">jingqin@niaid.nih.gov</ext-link>.</corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="ppub"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>4</day><month>11</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>21</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>681</fpage><lpage>695</lpage><supplementary-material id="S1" content-type="archive" xlink:href="jds1061_s001.zip" mimetype="application" mime-subtype="x-zip-compressed">
<caption>
<title>Supplementary Material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material includes the proof of Theorem 2, additonal simulation results, and the R code to implement the proposed method.</p>
</caption>
</supplementary-material><history><date date-type="received"><day>2</day><month>6</month><year>2022</year></date><date date-type="accepted"><day>5</day><month>7</month><year>2022</year></date></history>
<permissions><copyright-statement>2023 The Author(s). Published by the School of Statistics and the Center for Applied Statistics, Renmin University of China.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<license-p>Open access article under the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">CC BY</ext-link> license.</license-p></license></permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Single-index models are becoming increasingly popular in many scientific applications as they offer the advantages of flexibility in regression modeling as well as interpretable covariate effects. In the context of survival analysis, the single-index hazards models are natural extensions of the Cox proportional hazards models. In this paper, we propose a novel estimation procedure for single-index hazard models under a monotone constraint of the index. We apply the profile likelihood method to obtain the semiparametric maximum likelihood estimator, where the novelty of the estimation procedure lies in estimating the unknown monotone link function by embedding the problem in isotonic regression with exponentially distributed random variables. The consistency of the proposed semiparametric maximum likelihood estimator is established under suitable regularity conditions. Numerical simulations are conducted to examine the finite-sample performance of the proposed method. An analysis of breast cancer data is presented for illustration.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<label>Keywords</label>
<kwd>isotonic regression</kwd>
<kwd>pool-adjacent-violators algorithm</kwd>
<kwd>profile likelihood</kwd>
<kwd>semiparametric estimation</kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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