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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">JDS</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Journal of Data Science</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">1680-743X</issn>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">1680-743X</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>SOSRUC</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">110410</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.6339/JDS.201310_11(4).0010</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Research Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Feasibility of Singular Spectrum Analysis in the Field of Forecasting Mortality Rate</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Mahmoudvand</surname>
            <given-names>Rahim</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_000"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_000">Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC)</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Alehosseini</surname>
            <given-names>Fatemeh</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_001"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_001">Shahid Beheshti University</aff>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Zokaei</surname>
            <given-names>Mohammad</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="j_JDS_aff_002"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff id="j_JDS_aff_002">Shahid Beheshti University</aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <volume>11</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>851</fpage>
      <lpage>866</lpage>
      <permissions>
        <ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>Abstract: The Lee-Carter model and its extensions are the most popular methods in the field of forecasting mortality rate. But, in spite of introducing several different methods in forecasting mortality rate so far, there is no general method applicable to all situations. Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) is a relatively new, powerful and non parametric time series analysis that its capability in forecasting different time series has been proven in the various sciences. In this paper, we investigate the feasibility of using the SSA to construct mortality forecasts. We use the Hyndman-Ullah model, which is a new extension of Lee-Carter model, as a benchmark to evaluate the performance of the SSA for mortality forecasts in France data sets.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <label>Keywords</label>
        <kwd>Hyndman-Ullah model</kwd>
        <kwd>Lee-Carter model</kwd>
        <kwd>Mortality</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
